Ukraine's Strike Campaign - The Moscow Raid & Trends in the Long-Range War

Sponsored by Ground News: Compare news coverage. Spot media bias. Avoid algorithms. Try Ground News today and get 40% off your subscription by going to https://ground.news/perun From relatively humble beginnings, both Russia and Ukraine have massively scaled up their use of one-way attack drones over time and in 2026 we've seen the Ukrainians reach further and more frequently. So today I want to talk about the evolution of Ukraine's long-range war and the recent strike on the Moscow Region. Because nothing quite says successful demilitarisation quite like your opponent launching massed drone strikes on your capital four years into a war. Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/PerunAU Reading and Sourcing (Partial): Visually confirmed losses per Oryx UA USF claims per USF dashboard TWZ - New Russian ALCM https://www.twz.com/air/new-russian-air-launched-cruise-missile-appears-in-ukraine Putin draws red line (2024) https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/crrlr87e5elo RUSI - Disrupting Russian Air Defence Production https://static.rusi.org/rp-disrupting-russian-air-defence-production.pdf Reporting on S-71K https://www.twz.com/air/new-russian-air-launched-cruise-missile-appears-in-ukraine https://www.businessinsider.com/new-russian-cruise-missile-full-of-western-parts-ukrainian-intel-2026-4 Atlantic Council on Ukraine Drone War (and one cover image) https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/from-moscow-to-crimea-ukraine-is-winning-the-drone-war-against-russia/ Reporting on Eased UK sanctions https://en.usm.media/due-to-the-crisis-in-the-middle-east-britain-will-allow-the-import-of-fuel-from-rosneft/ Mapping of air defence positions around Lake Valdai per https://x.com/kromark/status/1812952368084054108?lang=en David Hambling - Russian “Missile Drought” Bites... https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidhambling/2026/05/07/russian-missile-drought-bites-as-putin-pulls-back-to-defend-moscow/ UA Defence Minister of test of Ukrainian glide bomb https://x.com/FedorovMykhailo/status/2056296732690935835 Russia plans to make 120,000 glide bombs (2025) https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/russia-plans-make-up-120000-glide-bombs-this-year-ukrainian-intelligence-says-2025-11-14/ French Hammer deliveries to Ukraine https://united24media.com/latest-news/france-to-supply-1200-jamming-resistant-aasm-hammer-bombs-for-ukraines-soviet-era-jets-8107 Reporting on recent Ukrainian Strike Activity https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/oil-refining-standstill-central-russia-after-ukrainian-drone-strikes-sources-say-2026-05-20/ https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2026/05/20/drone-strikes-force-central-russian-refineries-to-halt-or-cut-output-reuters-a92805 https://united24media.com/war-in-ukraine/ukraines-record-deep-strikes-are-knocking-out-russias-industrial-heartland-18660 https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/may/18/ukraine-war-briefing-the-drones-that-bombarded-moscow-region https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/ukrainian-long-range-drones-are-turning-russias-size-into-a-weakness/ https://kyivindependent.com/fire-at-novorossiysk-fuel-terminal-amid-ukrainian-drone-attack-russian-authorities-say/ https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/03/04/8023882/ https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c5ye480kxpmo Reporting on Russian revenues post Iran war https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2026/05/13/russias-oil-export-revenue-saw-continued-growth-in-april-iea-says-a92745 TASS reporting on S-300 ground attack role (2017) https://tass.com/defense/938610 Documents on Russian Ukraine peace negotiations 2022 (including arms limitations tables) https://static01.nyt.com/newsgraphics/documenttools/a456d6dd8e27e830/e279a252-full.pdf Source of 9M33 image https://global.espreso.tv/military-news-russian-propagandists-unwittingly-confirm-critical-gaps-in-air-defense Caveats & Comments: All normal caveats and comments apply. In particular – I would like to note as always that this material has been created for entertainment purposes and is not intended to be a complete or comprehensive examination of the topic in question and should not be relied upon to inform financial or any other decision, evaluation, or similar. Any content relating to the conduct, views, activities or any aspect of any person or character in this video is included for entertainment purposes and does not represent an assertion of fact on those matters or any matters in relation to that person or character. Care has been taken in compiling data, quotes, and other inputs from various sources but errors can occur. Quotes and included data should be considered illustrative, not definitive and their veracity should not be relied on. Timestamps: 00:00:00 — Intro 00:01:39 — What Am I Talking About? 00:03:37 — LRS in Ukrainian Strategy 00:09:25 — the Moscow Strike 00:19:21 — Ukrainian SEAD/DEAD 00:31:14 — Offensive Capabilities 00:50:12 — Energy Strikes 00:57:54 — a High-level View 00:59:54 — Channel Update